Sunday, 1 June 2014

Group B Preview

Spain

Fixtures: 13th June - Netherlands
                18th June - Chile
                23rd June - Australia

How they qualified: It was relatively straight forward for the world champions, topping Group I ahead of France, dropping four points over their eight matches.

Lowdown: They've won back to back European Championships, can they do the same with the World Cup? Spain are blessed with an almost limitless pool of talent and their possession based football combined with high pressure when without the ball has been a winning combination in club and international football for more than half a decade. There are a few doubts though; Xavi and Andreas Iniesta aren't getting any younger while there are still question marks over who will start up front, with Diego Costa favourite but struggling with a hamstring injury. Their 3-0 defeat to Brazil in the 2013 Confederations Cup final suggests we may be seeing the end of an era.

Key player: Xabi Alonso - Spain have some great passers of the ball, but not many in world football can better Alonso's range of passes or vision. Whether it's a simple two yard tap or pinging a 60 yard long ball, it's almost guaranteed to reach it's target. It says a lot when he's regarded just as important to Real Madrid than Ballon D'or winner Cristiano Ronaldo.

Verdict: Will certainly make it to the business end of the competition and only a fool would rule them out of winning it.

Odds: Spain to win the World Cup - 13/2
           Diego Costa top goalscorer - 25/1

Netherlands

Fixtures: 13th June - Spain
                18th June - Australia
                23rd June - Chile

How they qualified: The Netherlands walked UEFA Group D, winning nine and drawing once against Estonia. They scored 36 goals in total, including eight in one game vs Hungary, while Robin Van Persie topped the qualification goal scoring charts with 11 goals.

Lowdown: The first game of group B sees a repeat of the 2010 World Cup Final, and there's no doubt that the Dutch will be seeking revenge. If they're to go one step further this time round it's going to be a tough passage with a group that contains the world champions plus a more than capable Chile side. It's likely the runners up of this group will face Brazil in the last 16, and while the Netherlands pose an attacking threat, they look shaky at the back.

Key player: Robin van Persie - Top scorer in qualifying, the Man United striker is set to lead the line for the Dutch, even if he comes on the back of a frustrating and injury hit season for his club. However, his form at international tournaments has been patchy at best, including a torrid Euro 2012. He'll need to ensure he finds form, with Klaas Jan Huntelaar a more than capable replacement if RVP misfires.

Verdict: A combination of a tough draw plus a young and shaky defence means the Netherlands will do well to make it to the quarter finals.

Odds: Netherlands to win the World Cup - 30/1
           Netherlands to be eliminated in the group stages - 11/8


Chile

Fixtures 13th June - Australia
               18th June - Spain
               23rd June - Netherlands

How they qualified: Chile finished third in CONMEBOL qualifying with 28 points from 16 games. Their home form was particularly strong, losing just twice to Argentina and Colombia. 

Lowdown: A quick look at their squad and you can see that Chile are full of attacking talent, Juventus duo Arturo Vidal and Mauricio Isla, Valencia's Eduardo Vargas and of course Alexis Sanchez of Barcelona. They were a breath of fresh air in 2010 under Marcelo Bielsa, and under current manager Jorge Sampaoli they remain an attacking threat and a force to be reckoned with, as England fans know after they comprehensively beat the Three Lions at Wembley last year.

Key player: Alexis Sanchez -
Although not always a starter at the Nou Camp, Sanchez is vital for Chile, as shown when he scored both goals in that game in London in November and is the biggest Chilean attacking threat. Could be a dark horse to be World Cup golden boot winner too.

Verdict: Second place in Group B will probably boil down to the final group game between Chile and Netherlands on 23rd June and Chile. Should reach the knockout rounds.

Odds: Chile to win the World Cup - 50/1
           Alexis Sanchez top goalscorer - 66/1

Australia

Fixtures: 13th June - Chile
                18th June - Netherlands
                23rd June - Spain

How they qualified: The Aussies won five of their six qualification games in the AFC section to top their third round group before finishing second behind Japan to qualify for their third consecutive World Cup.

Lowdown: Australia aren't expected to tear up any trees at the World Cup after being handed a tough group. They also have a new manager, with Ange Postecoglu taking charge of just two competitive games. Postecoglu has gone for a youthful squad, with Mark Schwarzer, 41, retired and Lucas Neill, 36, not picked, despite both helping Australia get to this point. New York Red Bulls and former Everton midfielder Tim Cahill is selected.

Key player: Mile Jedinak - The Australia and Crystal Palace captain has had a great 12 months, helping his club side get promoted before becoming a key player under Tony Pulis. He's made 43 appearances for Australia, and is the only player in the Australia squad currently playing in the Premier League.

Verdict: Would be a major shock if Australia progress into the knockout stages like they did in 2006. Expect them to finish bottom of Group B.

Odds: Australia to win the World Cup - 500/1
           Australia to qualify from Group B - 12/1


Tuesday, 27 May 2014

Group A Preview

Brazil

Fixtures: 12th June - Croatia
                17th June - Mexico
                23rd June - Cameroon

How they qualified: As always, the hosts qualified automatically for the World Cup.

Lowdown: Of the 32 teams who qualified for the 2014 World Cup, none will have as much pressure to win the tournament than the hosts. The expectancy level cranked up a few notches after last year's Confederations Cup win, dismantling world champions Spain with ease in the final. Manager Luiz Felipe Scolari has previous when it comes to winning the World Cup, doing it for Brazil in 2002. Big Phil is not afraid to make big decisions either, omitting both Robinho and Kaka from his 23 man squad.


Key player: Neymar - Last summer there were a lot of doubts over whether Neymar was the real deal or just a show pony. But he answered his doubters with his performances at the Confederations Cup, scoring four goals and being crowned best player of the tournament. The Barcelona striker has a great record for A Selecao, with 30 goals in 47 appearances. Expect him to add to that tally this summer.

Verdict: Should reach the semi finals at the very least. My winners.

Odds: Brazil to win the World Cup: 3/1 (favourites)
           Neymar top goalscorer: 12/1

Croatia

Fixtures: 12th June - Brazil
                18th June - Cameroon
                23rd June - Mexico

How they qualified: Croatia had to settle for the playoffs after finishing nine points behind group winners Belgium, despite running them close for much of qualifying. But failure to win their last four qualifiers, including two defeats to Scotland saw the Croatian FA sack Igor Stimac and appoint former Bayern Munich player Niko Kovac. That decision was vindicated as they beat Iceland over two legs to qualify for Brazil.

Lowdown: There are a lot of familiar names in the Croatia squad too, with Nikica Jelavic and Dejan Lovren two English based players in the squad. Bayern Munich forward Mario Mandzukic is expected to lead the line, while Ivan Rakitic has had an impressive season for Sevilla, helping them win the Europa League. 

Key player: Luka Modric - You might not recognise Modric when you next see him take to the field, he's had his locks cut after starring the Champions League final. Madrid fans could be forgiven for not recognising him either. After being voted the worst signing in La Liga in 2012, Modric was a key player all season as Madrid won La Decima plus the Copa Del Rey. If he can continue his form for Croatia then they have a good chance of progressing from the group stages.

Verdict: Probably have the edge over Mexico and Cameroon to qualify in second, but won't go further than the last 16.

Odds: Croatia to win the World Cup - 150/1
           Finish second in the group - 13/8

Mexico

Fixtures: 13th June - Cameroon
                17th June - Brazil
                23rd June - Croatia

How they qualified: Mexico were in danger of missing out on their first World Cup since 1990, getting through three managers before Manuel Herrera took over in September. Performances improved, but they only went on to win just two of their ten CONCACAF qualification games and scraped into fourth place. However, they did see off New Zealand comfortably in their playoff, beating them 9-3 over two legs.

Lowdown: Their patchy form in qualifying suggests they may struggle at the World Cup, but with Brazil expected to top the group, second place is wide open. Man United's Javier Hernandez has been named in the squad but isn't a guaranteed starter due to his poor form and Herrera favouring players based in the Mexican domestic league. The squad also includes former Barcelona duo Giovanni Dos Santos and captain Rafael Marquez.

Key player: Andres Guardado - Herrera favours a 3-5-2 formation, so ex Fulham defender Carlos Salcido and Guardado operating as wing backs will be vitally important. Guardado plays on the left and has pace and good technical ability so expect him to be their key outlet. He joined Bayer Leverkusen on loan in January for more game time and faired well in Germany, making 16 league appearances and helping them qualify for the Champions League.

Verdict: Bit of an unknown with a lot of Mexican based players set to feature. A lot will depend on how they and the opposition adapt to Herrera's 3-5-2, will probably be squeezed out into third.

Odds: Mexico to win the World Cup - 150/1
           Finish bottom of the group - 3/1

Cameroon

Fixtures: 13th June - Mexico
                18th June - Croatia
                23rd June - Brazil

How they qualified: They topped Group I in CAF qualifying, losing one of their six group games. They then met Tunisia in a playoff where they were held in Tunis before winning 4-1 at home to qualify for their seventh World Cup finals, suggesting they're one of the strongest African teams.

Lowdown: The Indomitable Lions will be hoping to fare better than in South Africa in 2010 where they lost all three of their group games. They do boast a few well known names in there squad, most notably Samuel Eto'o and Alex Song, while Stephane Mbia has had a good season on loan at Sevilla from Queens Park Rangers.

Key player: Samuel Eto'o - Although towards the end of what has been a glittering career, Eto'o is still a big player for Cameroon and is available after making a retirement u-turn before their playoff tie with Tunisia. The World Cup will be something of a shop window for Eto'o after being released by Chelsea despite scoring 12 goals.

Verdict: Should do better than their 2010 performance but will struggle to make it out of the group.

Odds: Cameroon to win the World Cup - 500/1
           Exactly 0 points in the group - 4/1